in Anambra-Imo River Basin
using Game theory
FEATURED PAPER
By Anthony N. Ezemerihe, PhD
Enugu, Nigeria
Abstract
Project development in river basins is beset with lots of challenges occasioned by human activities which spark off climate variability that hinder their effectiveness to planning and management with other extraneous factors in the area. The study aimed at the use of Game theory model to optimize the net benefits on multi-purpose projects development in Anambra-Imo River basin. The objective was to use the iterative algorithm of game decision theory model to optimize the multi-purpose/multi-objective projects development at the river basin. The methodology involves the use of Game decision theory based on data generated from Bill of Engineering Measurement and Evaluation (BEME), descriptive, experimental model size and simulation modeling solution techniques, correlation and regression analysis. The result shows that the optimal strategies for the game theory was N69.02billion. The value of the name was 5.52 calculated from the Simplex Method Linear Programming Techniques of Game theory which falls between the maximin of 5.77 and minimax of 3.36. The correlation between the probabilities for player A and player B shows a strongly positive correlation 0.9612 which is consistent with that calculated from the graphical activities of r = 0.9635. The work recommends that the implementation of the optimal strategies of Game theory will assist in mitigating the effect of climate variability for improved integrated planning and management of the river basin. The adaptation to climate change condition will deliver benefits in order to achieve global potential contribution to multiple sustainable challenges in the river basin.
Keywords: optimization, iterative algorithm, Game theory, climate variability, planning and management, river basin.
1.0 Introduction
Water resources planning entail the orderly consideration of a project from the original statement of purpose through the evaluation of alternatives to the final decision on a course of action. This is the decision to proceed with a proposed project which is a very important aspect for satisfactory project completion. Water resources development project planning is intricate and complex because each project is unique in its physical and economic setting. There is no simple description which may lead to the best solution. The substitute to the planner’s judgment is the selection of the method of approach in the planning of the project. Although each step towards a final decision should be supported by qualitative analysis rather than by judgment.
The changing climate in the world today is certainly a significant factor for the future management of water resources. Climate change has a serious impact with wide range of implementation strategies. The most relevant physical and chemical factors are changes in water temperature, river flow and recharge of groundwater, water availability, intensity and frequency of extreme events such as floods and droughts, rise in sea level and saltwater intrusion, pollution land changes and water quality. Freshwater ecosystems experience potential impacts which may include loss of vulnerable species and protected areas, invasion, water supply, hydro-infrastructure and land use (Bates, Kundzewicz, Wu and Palutikof, 2008).
Improved and integrated river basin planning and management is essential for adequate climate change adaptation which has global potential contribution to multiple sustainability challenges. Also, policy development in most countries includes climate change adaptation with very few truly integrated approaches. River systems linking the downstream are complex. There are a lot of multiple stresses faced by river systems such as the effects of changes in water and sediment flows, canalization, wetland reclamation, pollution (including legacy pollution) and water abstraction. The impact of these stressors may be greater in the short term when compared to the current effects of climate change and sea level rise on some river systems. These stresses when combined with climate change often introduce different dynamics resulting in a strong decline in the functioning of natural ecosystem and quality of river systems quality which complicates already existing stresses. There is an interaction in rivers systems with the river, the catchment area and the outside world.
The game theory model optimization is one of dynamic programming techniques that offer one of the best options on integration of development planning and management for optimal utilization of the river basin resources. The multi-purpose/multi-objective river basin development project planning and management would help to determine levels of development to be apportioned to various purposes for water resources projects.
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How to cite this paper: Ezemerihe, A. N. (2024). Optimization of Net Benefits on Multipurpose Project Development in Anambra – Imo River Basin using Game theory; PM World Journal, Vol. XIII, Issue VIII, August. Available online at https://pmworldlibrary.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/pmwj144-Aug2024-Ezemerihe-Optimization-of-Net-Benefits-on-Project-Development-in-Anambra-Imo-River-Basin.pdf
About the Author
Anthony Nnamdi Ezemerihe
Enugu, Nigeria
Anthony Nnamdi Ezemerihe, PhD holds a bachelor’s degree in Building from Enugu University of Science and Technology Enugu, Nigeria, Higher National Diploma in Building Technology and Quantity Surveying from Institute of Management and Technology (IMT) Enugu, Nigeria. Postgraduate Diploma (PGD) and Master of Business Administration (MBA) in Banking and Finance from Anambra State University of Technology (ASUTECH) Enugu. A master of Science (M.Sc) degree in Building (Construction Management) from Nnamdi Azikiwe University (NAU) Awka, Nigeria. He has Master in Engineering (M.Eng.), Philosophy Degree (PhD) in Civil Engineering (Water Resources and Environmental Engineering) from Chukwuemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu University Uli, Anambra State Nigeria. He has also obtained PhD in Building (Construction Management) at NAU Awka, Nigeria.
Dr. Ezemerihe is a registered Engineer with Council for Regulation of Engineering in Nigeria (COREN) and a member of Nigerian Society of Engineers (MNSE). He is a registered Builder and Corporate member Nigerian Institute of Building (MNIOB), Nigerian Institute of Quantity Surveyors, Member Nigerian Institute of Management (MNIM), Member Nigerian Environmental Society (MNES) and passed with overall result A in Public Service Examination (PSE) from the Administrative Staff college of Nigeria (ASCON). He has attended many international, local conferences and training courses in Building, Civil Engineering and Management areas. He also obtained Doctor of philosophy (Critical and Creative Thinking) Ph.D. (CACT) (Honouris Causa) from Montclair State University, Upper Montclair New Jersey, United States of America (USA). He can be contacted at ecatonia2008@yahoo.com
